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What are the odds of hitting a hole-in-one?

What’s more statistically improbable than hitting a hole-in-one? Hitting two holes-in-one! In fact, as we’ll look at below, the odds of marking two holes-in-one on your scorecard in a single round are simply astronomical.

According to the National Hole-in-One Registry, the chances of an average player making an ace are 12,000 to one. Meanwhile, the chances of the one player making two holes-in-one in the same round skyrocket to 67 million to one.

Low-handicapper golfers have a 5,000 to one chance of making an ace, while tour players have a 3,000 to one chance.

As these figures show, if you have scored a hole-in-one, you’re in pretty elite company! Going to the next level, according to Guinness World Records, the most holes-in-one scored in a single round is three.

The National Hole-in-One Registry provides the following facts:

  • In the US alone, there are approximately 450 million rounds of golf played each year. Each course has around 25,000-30,000 rounds played each year on average, reporting 10-15 holes-in-one.
  • A hole-in-one is scored once every 3,500 rounds of golf.
  • Only 1-2% of golfers score a hole-in-one over the course of the year, with the average years of playing being 24, and the average handicap being 14.
  • Golfers in the 50-59 age bracket make the most holes-in-one (25%), with the next highest being 40-49 (24%).
  • Women make 16% of holes-in-one, with an average age of 55 and average years of playing of 15.
  • As far as the brand of ball used most often, Titleist (45%) leads the way, followed by Nike (14%) and Top Flite (11%).
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